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FIRST ALERT WEATHER - Expect rain late today and tonight

Rain moves out midday Saturday
Published: Jul. 8, 2020 at 7:21 AM CDT|Updated: 2 hours ago
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Good Friday morning everyone!  Some showers have moved across the area during the night, and this area of rain is on the way out to the east.  Temperatures are far warmer than we’ve seen for several mornings with readings in the 40s.  You can expect a cloudy day today with just a spotty shower or two, and highs will be around or just over 60° for most locations. 

Despite cloud cover, a southeast breeze will help warm us up slightly.
Despite cloud cover, a southeast breeze will help warm us up slightly.(KY3)

The better chance of rain will begin this evening after about 7 pm, with rain and thunderstorms spreading across the area from west to east.   There could be some locally heavy downpours, but I’m concerned that widespread thunderstorms across eastern Texas and Louisiana may “steal” some of our moisture and decrease our rain amounts. 

A few storms could be strong in western Missouri and Arkansas.
A few storms could be strong in western Missouri and Arkansas.(KY3)

There is a slight chance for a strong storm or two in western Missouri and northwest Arkansas by late afternoon, but the better chance of more widespread rain will occur after dark.

The main severe weather threat will remain south and west of the Ozarks.
The main severe weather threat will remain south and west of the Ozarks.(KY3)

In any case, rain will continue through early Saturday before exiting to the east by afternoon.  I have doubts about how quickly cloud will clear out, and I suspect much of the day will be overcast.  Sunday looks much better with highs back into the lower 70s and nearly full sunshine.  The wind will really crank up on Monday, bringing our high temperatures up into the lower 80s, perhaps the warmest day of the year so far.  Moisture will begin flowing back into the area, and some thunderstorms are possible as early as Tuesday evening.  Computer models continue to differ on the timing of the upper trough and thus the timing of thunderstorms, with one model keeping the rain away until Wednesday.  In any case we’ll have to watch this time frame for the potential for severe weather.  Cooler temperatures will at least briefly return on the other side of that storm system for the second half of next week.