FIRST ALERT WEATHER: Cold front moves through today
Isolated showers are possible
Good Thursday morning everyone! We’ve had some cloud cover overnight, so we’re not as cold this morning with readings mainly in the 40s. Radar has indicated a few light showers, and there is the chance of isolated showers or a storm today over the eastern side of the Ozarks.
A cold front will be passing through by early afternoon, bringing just a slight reduction in highs compared to yesterday. Expect highs in the middle to upper 60s across the region, and possibly as warm as 70° in Arkansas.
High pressure will move into the area again tonight, and this will set the stage for another cold night. I expect that most locations will settle around 40° or just above by Friday morning under clear skies.
We’ll start Friday sunny, but clouds will begin to increase in the afternoon across the western side of Missouri and Arkansas. A few showers are possible as well, though I think many areas will be dry.
A warm front will begin to set up just to our south on Friday, and by Friday night a low-level jet stream will punch moisture into and over the front, bringing showers and thunderstorms. Models continue to indicate that the Ozarks will be in the “sweet spot” for this going into early Saturday, so this part of the forecast is relatively high confidence. Instability will increase later in the day Saturday as well, and there is the chance for a severe storm or two. The process will repeat Saturday night into early Sunday, this time perhaps focused just a bit more to the north compared to the night before. Either way I think the best chance for storms this weekend will be in the first half of both Saturday and Sunday, with more dry spots in the afternoons. It would be wise to have a backup plan for any weekend activities. Temperatures will be on the warmer side for the weekend—in the 70s—before a cold front moves through Sunday afternoon. This will bring a renewed push of cooler-than-average temperatures for much of next week.