FIRST ALERT WEATHER: Rain ending quickly today
The next round comes Friday night
Good morning and happy Thursday. Rain has been falling overnight but it hasn’t been as heavy as expected. The focus ended up just a bit south of the expected track with the heaviest rain in Arkansas. The lift will decrease quickly this morning so the rain will exit from west to east by late morning.
Clouds will likely remain the rest of the day, but a break here and there is possible.
Highs today will reach the middle 50s in central Missouri and around 60° in Arkansas.
A cold front will swing through slowly tonight and there could still be a few showers with it. Much drier air will bring the sun back tomorrow with highs again in the 50s. Another upper wave will cause moisture to surge back north late Friday night and another round of rain is expected to develop over the Ozarks into Saturday morning.
Like today, rain should exit by midday or so, but clouds may stick the rest of the day. Sunday looks a bit better with some sun and highs in the middle 50s. A large storm system is forecast to move into the Rockies late Sunday and move slowly east into the central or northern plains through Wednesday. A strong south wind will blow on Monday and moisture will begin returning through the central plains to our west. A cold front will move through Tuesday afternoon with widespread rain and storms ahead of it. At this point, I think rain may get going to quickly in the day to allow much instability to develop. Because of this, I’m not currently too worried about severe weather, though other ingredients (strong wind shear) will be present.
We’ll continue to watch the system through the weekend. Once that front drops through, upper low pressure will sag south and bring some cold air with it. Highs could be in the 30s by the last part of next week. In the long range, models continue to show hints of colder air in the pattern for the last part of December. We’ll see.
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