FIRST ALERT WEATHER: Warm for Monday & much of this week
Mainly dry through this week as well
Good Sunday evening, everyone. Saturday’s rain and t-storms left behind quite a bit of rainfall in its wake. According to radar estimates, the Ozarks saw an average of 1.2″ of rain after the last of those showers cleared out of northern Arkansas this morning. Some areas along and west of US 65 managed to see higher amounts near 6″ that led to some water rescues Saturday night.
Looking at our setup, the same cold front that brought the strong to severe t-storms into the Ozarks is working through the region this evening. The upper-level winds are keeping any chances for severe weather to the southwest across parts of northeastern Texas this evening.
As the cold front continues to push through the Ozarks, some moisture and instability will allow for some widely scattered showers and t-storms to percolate across parts of northern Arkansas and the Missouri Ozarks near US Highway 63. These will mainly produce moderate to some heavy pockets of rain until the rain chances clear out by 10 or 11 o’clock tonight.
Behind the front, a light northerly breeze and mostly clear skies will work together with all the moisture from the rain this weekend and allow for areas of fog to develop overnight. By the start of the Monday morning drive, these areas of fog could be quite dense by dropping visibilities down to half a mile or less in parts of the Ozarks.
Once the morning fog burns away after sunrise, we’ll have mostly sunny skies and dry weather in place to take us through the rest of the day.
After a dry Tuesday, an upper-level disturbance clipping the Great Lakes could come close enough to the Ozarks to bring some isolated showers and t-storms for some late Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning. For now, any expected rain amounts look very minimal and will only clip the northeastern Ozarks before moving on.
The rest of the week is looking dry with any additional disturbances looking to stay away from the Ozarks. In fact, we may have to wait until after next weekend for a developing upper-level trough to bring in our next best shot for rain. We could have to wait until October 4th through October 7th for those rain chances to come back into play.
As for temperatures, warm is the name of the game for this week. After lows in the lower 60s Monday morning, highs will bounce back into the lower 80s across the Ozarks Monday afternoon.
After lows in the upper 50s Tuesday morning, we’ll enjoy another comfortably warm Tuesday afternoon with highs back in the lower 80s for many and in the middle 80s for some in the southern Ozarks.
The rest of the week ahead shows temperatures staying comfortably warm.
We’ll keep highs in the lower to middle 80s Wednesday through next weekend. Morning lows will certainly feel more like fall as those numbers will stay in the lower 60s for most of the week.
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