Our computer model predicts a victory for the Jacksonville Jaguars when they face the Kansas City Chiefs at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday, September 17 at 1:00 PM ET -- for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

On offense, the Chiefs were a top-five unit last season, ranking best in the NFL by compiling 413.6 yards per game. They ranked 11th on defense (328.2 yards allowed per game). The Jaguars averaged 23.8 points per game offensively last season (10th in NFL), and they surrendered 20.6 points per game (12th) on the defensive side of the ball.

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Chiefs vs. Jaguars Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Jaguars (+3.5) Under (50.5) Jaguars 27, Chiefs 20

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 63.6%.
  • Kansas City covered seven times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Chiefs were favored by 3.5 points or more 14 times last season, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total eight times in Kansas City games.
  • The over/under in this game is 50.5 points, 0.8 higher than the average total in Chiefs games last season.

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The Jaguars have a 40.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Jacksonville compiled an 8-9-0 record against the spread last year.
  • When playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs last year, the Jaguars had an ATS record of 4-2.
  • A total of eight of Jacksonville games last season went over the point total.
  • Games involving the Jaguars last year averaged 44 points per game, a 6.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Chiefs vs. Jaguars 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Kansas City 29.2 21.7 25.1 19.4 32.8 23.8
Jacksonville 23.8 20.6 22.4 19.3 25 21.8

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